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Tracy Harris on the Budget 2026: Visa integrity crackdown and continued pressure on international education

4 points · submitted Jun 2026 by u/artsrc

It is a common refrain from the right wing, who want to use anything, including xenophobia, to gain working class support, that Labor are increasing migration, and “missing their targets”.

In this context it is worth noting the budget showed actual NOM for 2024 - 2025 revealed in the 2026 budget was, 305,000, which is 30,000 lower than the forecast in the previous 2025 budget.

The budget forecasts a continuation of the decline in migration that peaked, post COVID, in 2023:

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/overseas-migration/latest-release

Tracy Harris on the Budget 2026: Visa integrity crackdown and continued pressure on international education

9 comments · 70% upvoted · source · other discussions

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bawdygeorge01 4 points · Jun 2026

>In this context it is worth noting the budget showed actual NOM for 2024 - 2025 revealed in the 2026 budget was, 305,000, which is 30,000 lower than the forecast in the previous 2025 budget.

In the 2024-25 Federal Budget, NOM was forecast to be 260,000 in 2024-25.

NOM turned out to be 305,000 in 2024-25, according to ABS data.

That is 45,000 more than forecast.

artsrc [OP] 2 points · Jun 2026

45K more than forecast in 2024, and 30K less than forecast in 2025.

I guess if you go back another year there would be another forecast, and another different discrepancy.

bawdygeorge01 0 points · Jun 2026

If you go back another year there would be another forecast that was revised upwards.

jonnieggg 2 points · Jun 2026

It's worth noting the shortage of affordable housing.

Maximum_Bit6508 3 points · Jun 2026

Its worth noting that migration has increased YoY since 2001 barring 3 circumstances.  Further to this its worth noting labor have acticely lied about migration ever single time. 

MrPrimeTobias 0 points · Jun 2026

Early start for the sites resident alcoholic.

artsrc [OP] 2 points · Jun 2026

In graph 1.2, on the ABS NOM page I linked, I count 5 years of lower migration than the previous one since 2014.

The years starting in 2017, 2019, 2020, 2023, and 2024.

We are projected, in the budget, to see more of these.

I should note that some migration is deliberately out of control. We deliberately allow any number of New Zealanders to come here. We allow any number of Australian citizens to return home. We allow any number of Australians to marry someone from overseas, and we allow those married partners to come here. I strongly support these “out of control” migrant categories coming here.

Maximum_Bit6508 0 points · Jun 2026

Another misprepresentation of the stats by you. As I stated barring 3 occasions migration has increased i.e. it is trending upwards  

Stop defending what is a terrible program.

You should also note according to Albo all migration is out of control and they can't do anything about it. 

artsrc [OP] 0 points · Jun 2026

And as I said “oversees migrant arrivals” declined 5 times in the chart, according to the ABS, including the last 2 years.

If you can see that your problem is blindness.

As I said in the other thread, it is not for Albo to just bring attention to the poor design created by the LNP. It is for Albo and the Greens to design a new migration policy the puts people above profit. And what distracts from that are liars like you.