u/Ginden
Ginden
Ginden
Ale skąd wziąłeś "mniej pracy"? Jest jakiś zakaz zatrudnienia ich, czy co?
Ginden
Yes, I have a custom skill with 40 examples of bad tests with explanation why that test is bad.
Ginden
We can see these people were rational: personally I can find much better uses for my $100 than paying to watch a guy eat dog poop, but economist in question seemingly believed to be the most pleasurable entertainment obtainable for $100, aka he really likes that.
Ginden
A teraz nie będą wypracowywać PKB, czy jak?
Ginden
Higher payments are transferred to customers
How do you think unions work?
Ginden
Data centers are extremely more efficient at throughput compared to any local AI that's not even a competition. Blackwell server GPUs generate trivially 10x more tokens per unit of energy than customer toys.
Ginden
Thinking effort is, literally, thinking effort. What happens if you force someone to think too much about a very simple problem? They start trying to invent problems to solve. Medium/low are good everyday drivers.
Ginden
Unless you understand well what you are doing, I would just recommend using Tailscale. Maintaining Internet exposed endpoints requires regular work, and it's getting harder every day.
Ginden
for data under an NDA that’s the part you can’t do.
Security theatre threat model, NDA should explicitly include these or pay enough to rent GPUs/servers as needed.
Ginden
I just respond, "Feel free to copy this without AI, ideas are not copyrighted." There is no point in discussing it further, don't get dragged into defending it.
Ginden
Are you really shocked that Anthropic doesn’t want to open themselves up to legal liabilities
Except for a little fact that service providers are generally not liable for non-lawful actions of user if they don't encourage them.
Ginden
Security theatre threat model. If you are a normal company, typical ZDR agreements are good enough. If you are under stricter security model, you are working for multi-billion corporation and you can afford local GPU rack.
Ginden
People routinely mistake money and stuff that can be buy for money, because that approximation works until you start spending billions of dollars on monthly basis.
Ginden
Increased demand for electricity while we still have not decarbonized our grid is bad, but the best you can do for CO2 emissions is to buy PV or vote for building more clean power.
Ginden
There has been an increase in income inequality and we absolutely should do something about that.
It's not obvious whether that is real or mostly compositional effects (e.g. older people make more money, aging society will see its income inequality change, despite no individual person's life trajectory changing), and how much of that is accounting artifacts.
Ginden
Gdyby inteligentny człowiek potrafił dobrze przewidzieć jak nowe rewolucyjne technologie zmienią rynek pracy, to odbierałby Nobla z ekonomii, a nie pisał o tym na Reddicie, bo rynki pracy są skrajnie skomplikowane, silnie regulowane, zależne od stóp procentowych i naczyniami połączonymi.
Ginden
Biology spent billions of years trying the most nonsensical combinations, it would be very improbable if no virus accidentally stumbled upon "kill all life" cheat code if such cheat code can exist.
Ginden
I would think there's every reason to suspect it because if their policy was to never use the data to train, and they confidently followed their policy, they could have said none of the data was used to train
Their policy is not to never use the data to train. Their policy is to not use data of users who didn't consent to use their data for training.
Simple code like:
if (user.trainingAllowed) sendToTrainingAnonymizationQueue(request, llmResponse);
return llmResponse;
will result in inability to quickly verify if chats were or were not used for training, if you don't track history of trainingAllowed flag.
Ginden
Yes, it's highly specific to your area of work and openness of your tasks. Certain types of work never end, for example, improving performance, fraud detection, predictive algorithms, and no PR "solves" performance. If you do generative terrain generation in game, there is no "solution", only better or worse design choices, often with many dimensions.
If you do features for well defined stakeholders, then, indeed, code production is rarely a bottleneck.
Ginden
In market, today's prices are generally an average of market expectations of mid-term prices. So, it's rarely worth delaying purchases in expectation of prices dropping, unless you accept the risk of prices rising.
It's simple: if I expected that storage prices will double next year, I would hoard storage to sell later, instead of selling it at now. If I expect them to drop, I would just move some of my data to rented storage, and buy actual storage later.
Ginden
Yes, marriage is widely considered a positive event, and people dream of getting married, while people also dread divorce and put significant efforts to avoid it.
Ginden
Myślę, że rozsyłając po wszelkich kanałach internetowych można dostać całkiem reorezentatywną próbkę populacji w wielu wypadkach.
Mam nadzieję, że wpadłeś na ten pomysł samemu, a nie powiedział to ktoś na uczelni, bo trzeba by bombardować.
Ginden
Można wypełnić ankietę zaznaczając "nie" w pierwszym pytaniu. xD
By all signs, this is going to happen very soon. Astra Pro is already extremely capable in math, and non-trivial number of open problems is one prompt away from being solved.
Mathematicians already publish results made solely by AI, and verified by hand. If you have $100 OpenAI subscription, just keep throwing open problems that you find in the literature, you will be surprised how many of them are solvable.
Bel, reasearch model behind Navier-Stokes and recent 721-paper dump, is even more capable.
You can reasonably expect that in two years basically all research questions like that will be either solved or missing necessary experimental data.