u/programmerChilli

15.8k post karma · 17.2k comment karma · joined May 2014 · moderator

programmerChilli

You should take a look ar MATS. They take many people from similar backgrounds to you.

programmerChilli

I'm quite sympathetic, but this is also how chess and go players felt about the advent of ai in their fields.

programmerChilli

Given that tyreek Hill was 31 when he ran the 10.15, is much bulkier than would be ideal (191 pounds at 5'9"), and presumably doesn't train seriously for the 100m, I think he could have been a competitive 100m runner if he didn't do football.

programmerChilli

Yes he's 39. Still arguably played the best this world cup though!

programmerChilli

He had two penalties. One in regular time and one after.

programmerChilli

1st place likely gets Germany in RO16 and then Morocco/Netherlands/Korea in QF.

2nd place likely gets Brazil in RO16 and England in QF.

programmerChilli

It's not unreasonable. He's been at best maybe a top 5-10 pitcher, but he's the #2 hitter in baseball.

programmerChilli

B. eye also increases the size of the hitting circle in manual play. I have a pet theory that B. eye makes hitting more lenient wrt timing but not super obvious to me.

programmerChilli

Welcome to the bitter lesson.

programmerChilli

If I flip a coin twice, is it "practically decided" that it won't land on heads twice?

programmerChilli

Betting markets gave trump far better odds than polling or basically any other source.

programmerChilli

Fwiw I did some experiments on this a while ago but didn't get any conclusive results showing pitch mix mattered.

programmerChilli
programmerChilli
programmerChilli

Mostly a waste of time imo

programmerChilli

There are folks getting offers well into the 9 figures.

programmerChilli

This is hardly a prediction and more of a leak. By the time situational awareness was released, development of the o1-line of models was already a big deal within openai.

programmerChilli

The people who joined Mistral did not work on Llama 3. There's some contention about whether they even worked on Llama 2 (they contributed to the model that became llama 2 but were not put on the paper)

programmerChilli

This article is framed very strangely, since most of the people who left meta to join mistral did so years ago (before llama3's release)

programmerChilli

He's saying 2 of the warriors 4 best players

programmerChilli

How does eFG% punish you for 3 point shooting? It takes into account the extra point.

programmerChilli

I don't agree that the front-end for Triton doesn't matter - for example, Triton would have been far less successful if it wasn't a DSL embedded in Python and stayed in C++.

programmerChilli

You argue that it's suspicious based off the "probabilities" but are then misapplying stats for your argument.

programmerChilli

The basic probability is straightforward. The question is whether we actually care about the odds that the spurs specifically won in those years, as opposed to any of the other years. For example, if the spurs won the 1987, 1997, and 2025 lotteries, you'd also be complaining. Similarly, if instead of the Spurs who'd won it was the Rockets, you'd also be complaining.

It's the "garden of forking paths" problem. Or this anecdote from Richard Feyman

You know, the most amazing thing happened to me tonight... I saw a car with the license plate ARW 357. Can you imagine? Of all the millions of license plates in the state, what was the chance that I would see that particular one tonight? Amazing!

programmerChilli

chatgpt post