u/tchaffee

5,248 post karma · 24.7k comment karma · joined Sep 2012

tchaffee

I don't remember the companies, but they did get stuck in customs, and I had to pay almost 100% in import taxes. Not worth it really.

tchaffee

If a company instead reduces everyone's compensation by 10-20%, that almost certainly means that everyone could get a new job at a different company for a 10-20% raise

Sounds like a solid theory. But not usually in the real world. Look at the situation now. The best people are not going to leave a job they have been at for a long time and which offers security to start at a new company with all the risks that includes during a time of increasing layoffs and uncertainty.

Salaries also quickly adjust. The salaries you are seeing right now for the same work a year ago are 10% to 20% lower.

Your best people will leave when the layoffs stop, the economy is clearly recovering, and if you are too late bringing salaries back in line with the market.

Not only do salary reductions work, they generate a huge amount of employee loyalty that would be hard to gain in other ways.

tchaffee

Those stats are not reliable. In many places in S. America the violence is between gangs and doesn't affect regular people. You need stats on non-gang violence, or even better crime against tourists. Rio for example has some dangerous beaches. But go further south and there is almost no crime on those beaches.

tchaffee

Strong avoid. That price is way too low for real human pork.

tchaffee

That's an absurd range. If you're doing it for legal reasons you should be reported for not using a reasonable range. Put the real range in your posting.

tchaffee

Number 3 seems rash considering how many innocent people go to jail and are found to be innocent much later.

tchaffee

Are you looking for jobs only in Brazil? Or looking for remote work? If you are looking for remote work the skills listed are worth at least $40 per hour. And possibly much much higher.

tchaffee

So good it knocked the spelling right the shit outta ya.

tchaffee

Raise your rates. That's way too low.

tchaffee

You can't say it doesn't kill. Yellow Fever for example is a live modified virus and kills about 1 in 250, 000 people. Most vaccines are not live viruses and are far safer. But piling other vaccines on top of YF might be best to take the doctor's advice and avoid.

tchaffee

Sure, let’s say you spent $500m to buy all the possible lottery combinations.

I asked you to do the math if I bought only one lottery ticket for $2. You need to do the EV by doing the math with the odds and what you actually put in the bank after taxes.

tchaffee

But you only get taxed on the profit which is 100m.

Not if you spend $2 on one ticket. EV should be calculated per ticket. And EV should not change if I buy just one ticket.

tchaffee

Show the actual math then for the winnings. Because I've seen it done elsewhere and when you take into account taxes, the prize needs to be more like $1.3 billion once you consider taxes. For a $2 spend, you only get to deduct $2 from your winnings. Which is nothing. At the end of the day EV should be calculated using what you put in the bank, not what the total winnings are. Meaning you have to consider taxes.

tchaffee

The salary is way too low for someone with experience.

tchaffee

You're mxing up EV and winnings.

tchaffee

Monty Hall takes less than a minute to explain. You still haven't been able to explain how to pick a random real number after dozens of comments. And I don't believe that you've tried to explain both to many average people. You can have the last word. Seems like you need it. Later.

tchaffee

Of course you can do it. You are interested in math more than the average person. As I said many comments back, this is not a good example for the average person. Contrast with Monty Hall which is easy to understand and is a far better example.

tchaffee

Well of course it's probability zero. You gave me a task I can never complete.

tchaffee

What happens with probability zero?

tchaffee

And how can I use that number in the example we are discussing?

Also noted that pi is one number and if you ask anyone for the first few digits of pi they can give it to you. But if I ask you for the first few digits of my random number you cannot give it to me. So there are significant differences between a random number that I cannot tell you anything useful about, and pi which I can tell you a lot about.

tchaffee

That's true. And you've still failed to give an example of the actual topic we are discussing:

What is a math “fact” that is completely unintuitive to the average person?

tchaffee

You can use pi because it represents an actual relationship. What's does the the number I'm picking represent?

tchaffee

You tell me. You're the one that's supposed to be explaining this thing that is supposedly uninituitive.

tchaffee

So I never know the number I'm supposed to pick? How am I supposed to use a number I don't know?

tchaffee

If I never know all the digits how do I tell the other person what number I picked?